欧元/美元五浪上涨,料扩大涨势
欧元兑美元从10.3.2023低点开始的反弹正在以5浪脉冲艾略特波浪结构进行。从10.3.2023低点反弹,第(1)浪结束于1.11395,第(2)浪的回撤结束于1.0694。货币对在(3)浪中转而走高,但需要突破(1)浪,即1.11395,才能排除双重修正的可能性。从(2)浪开始上涨,(i)浪结束于1.0785,(ii)浪结束于1.0731。该货币对在(iii)浪中反弹至1.0839,在(iv)浪中回调至1.0789。最后一浪(v)结束于1.088,在更高水平上完成了((i))浪。
波浪((ii))回调目前正在进行中,自2.14.2024低点以来以之字形结构修正,之后该货币对将重新走高。从((i))浪下跌,(a)浪在1.0802结束。预计汇价将在(b)浪中反弹,然后在(c)浪中转跌,在重新走高之前以更高的幅度完成((ii))浪。只要1.0694低点的中枢保持完好,预计汇价回调将在3、7或11个波段中找到支撑,从而进一步上行。由于从2.14.2024开始的5个波段结构,在维持在1.0694以上的情况下,我们至少会再走高一段。
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